Pkr.com – Case Study 4

Posted by Trix @ 12:00 AM, Thursday Jan 22nd, 2009

www.pkr.com -With a hand of (A,K), we find ourselves in a heads up pot after making a reasonable raise preflop. The flop then comes down ((3,10,J) with no immediate flush danger present. If we are second to act and our opponent raises another average sized bet, there are some points here that need to be considered. First of all, there is every chance our opponent is making a continuation bet in order to try and pick up the pot uncontested, and there is a real chance they may have nothing.

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If they have connected in some way, I feel that a reraise should give you a lot of information about how well. If the response to your reraise is for your opponent to put in another large reraise, we can safely say that we are probably not going to win the pot if an Ace or King falls on the turn. This in itself is an important point, because if your opponent has only a middle pair or something similar, you can count your Ace and King as possible outs, but you must also be aware that if your opponent has a hand such as (A,J) you will get yourself into trouble if an Ace falls.

In an ideal world, you will hit a Queen for a straight, but we cannot pin much hope on this card arriving. Whilst it does give four definitive outs, when we work on the assumption of our reraise being called, the pivotal point is whether we can pair an overcard and be in front in the hand. Despite these possibilities being the key to the hand, we would also be very happy if our opponent simply folded, and with a high incidence of players putting out tester bets on a flop such as this, that is a distinct possibility.
Bear in mind also, that if the flop shows two cards of the same suit, your opponent could be drawing to a flush so be careful if another of that suit appears on the turn, especially if it is an Ace or King of that particular suit.

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